MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbba7df80562ee21274ee2beaaafa7891c7b4612e018b02a371fe13c089cf3948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Athletics, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $471,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Athletics | 35c | 112,244$39,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,285.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 103,741$67,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,309.25 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 35,379$22,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,736.32 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Athletics | 0c | 26,562$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 25,000$16,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 29c | 21,840$6,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,314.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Athletics | 34c | 20,792$7,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,069.2 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 20,696$13,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,051.25 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Athletics | 35c | 20,411$7,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,179.42 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 20,348$15,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.57 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 38c | 19,261$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 17,553$10,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,670.16 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 15,584$9,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,766.2 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Athletics | 36c | 15,534$5,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,592.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 36c | 10,598$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.38 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 9,855$6,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 9,358$7,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.52 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 38c | 8,128$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Athletics | 27c | 5,840$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.85 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 5,641$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.03 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 33c | 5,103$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Athletics | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 35c | 4,596$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.54 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 4,260$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.89 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 34c | 4,108$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.99 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…58e9backed Athletics | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Athletics | 37c | 4,021$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.72 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Athletics | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 3,450$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Athletics | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 2,249$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 1c | 2,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 2,063$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.31 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 2,026$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.46 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Athletics | 35c | 2,000$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.83 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Athletics | 18c | 1,882$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.72 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,817$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 1,682$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.29 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,652$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Athletics | 28c | 1,652$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.58 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Athletics | 36c | 1,501$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.52 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Athletics | 27c | 1,464$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.41 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,362$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,341$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.38 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,213$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.1 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,192$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.26 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,113$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,000$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Athletics | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 870.99$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.04 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 869.57$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Athletics | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Athletics | 26c | 807.51$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.15 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Athletics | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 714.25$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 681.82$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 649.61$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Athletics | 25c | 643.51$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Athletics | 27c | 563.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 560$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Athletics | 35c | 555.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.37 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 551.22$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Athletics | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Athletics | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Athletics | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 500$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.37 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 449.72$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.9 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…6185backed Athletics | 24c | 422.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 36c | 404.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 388.67$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Athletics | 37c | 385.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Athletics | 22c | 327.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…2f9bbacked Athletics | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Athletics | 27c | 319.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…ef96backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 310.61$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 307.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Athletics | 36c | 307$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 292.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics | 23c | 289.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa707…9d82backed Athletics | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Athletics | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…a956backed Athletics | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Athletics | 8c | 269$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 268.11$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Athletics | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Athletics | 38c | 226.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 218.24$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Athletics | 26c | 210.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Athletics | 20c | 202.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Athletics | 36c | 202$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Athletics | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Athletics | 36c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.