Fifa International · resolved market
Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5288c4b2d344c7760a90aec1d2a6f569531ab479796b5b5d681dbabf654d37d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 24c | 4,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 2,749$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.79 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 51c | 2,348$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.93 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 1,509$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,480$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.33 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 49c | 724.49$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 50c | 715.87$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 587.19$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 28c | 542.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 62c | 313.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 49c | 290.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked No | 54c | 242.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf5…6db3backed No | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked No | 64c | 197.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 51c | 197.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked No | 52c | 194.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 55c | 182.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…7dfebacked No | 52c | 162.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 75c | 143.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 60c | 122.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 24c | 105.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 53c | 98.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 47c | 97.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…6e04backed No | 76c | 95.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 95.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0724backed No | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…5005backed No | 76c | 92.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 29c | 86.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…ecb1backed No | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…accfbacked No | 74c | 84.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 49c | 76.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 69.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Yes | 48c | 66.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Yes | 48c | 64.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…5a75backed Yes | 48c | 62.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 45.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 35.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7603…7556backed Yes | 49c | 32.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…662ebacked Yes | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 54c | 21.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…dda9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab5…a2a0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…e0d5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bulgaria (-1.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Bulgaria (-2.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Montenegro (-1.5)Bulgaria won
- Spread: Montenegro (-2.5)Bulgaria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.