Fifa International · resolved market
Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2500bac164d202e463ccc9490fe12f24b7ae2c6d41de34ae7ec47a7ff8abc56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4587…7bc9backed Under | 64c | 3,137$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.37 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 2,404$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.15 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 13c | 2,191$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.86 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 36c | 1,657$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.53 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 1,487$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.84 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 40c | 1,484$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed Over | 3c | 1,115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 60c | 999.98$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.75 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 61c | 988.04$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.04 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 822.3$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.07 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 3c | 520.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 60c | 469.93$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.74 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…3579backed Over | 41c | 244.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…fe15backed Under | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 12c | 185.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 61c | 153.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 41c | 151.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 60c | 124$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 42c | 116.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 70c | 102$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 41c | 101.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 93.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 92.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 89.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 61c | 78.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 41c | 75.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 20c | 74.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Under | 59c | 67.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc860…1a89backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 40c | 61.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 36c | 59.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…f1abbacked Under | 60c | 57.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 31c | 48.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…0c0abacked Over | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 60c | 41.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 60c | 41.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 76c | 38.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 75c | 33.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…d1f9backed Over | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 36c | 29.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 60c | 28.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 21.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 60c | 20.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Under | 58c | 17.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5this page
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bulgaria (-1.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Bulgaria (-2.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Montenegro (-1.5)Bulgaria won
- Spread: Montenegro (-2.5)Bulgaria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.