Fifa International · resolved market
Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc43d474d37e397a4d09fbfcba00aa6022e9d0c5c041255463b03ca8d7c0e45de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 51c | 3,143$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.14 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,285$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…6907backed Over | 48c | 2,073$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.16 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 1,866$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.22 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 1,211$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 36c | 970.53$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.39 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 891.05$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…7bc9backed Under | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 625.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.47 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 602.36$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.68 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 69c | 566.53$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.81 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 45c | 444.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 47c | 421.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.39 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 41c | 385.71$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.57 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 370.96$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 68c | 300.18$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 39c | 299.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.79 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 68c | 264.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 41c | 254.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 31c | 240$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…9b97backed Over | 69c | 215.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 39.3%68 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 48c | 194.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 52c | 192.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 34c | 155.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 33c | 152.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 53c | 151.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Over | 66c | 151.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 31c | 117.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked Under | 46c | 106.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Under | 34c | 104.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 102.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…42d1backed Over | 67c | 89.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 46c | 84.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 46c | 84.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 67c | 81.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 20c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Over | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 46c | 69.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 52c | 67.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 33c | 67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 67c | 62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed Under | 34c | 51.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Under | 34c | 47.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +175.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 30c | 43.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 42.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…bb2bbacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 55c | 35.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 32c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…bdb2backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 59c | 24.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 55c | 24.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…88a5backed Under | 53c | 19.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Under | 57c | 18.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5this page
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bulgaria (-1.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Bulgaria (-2.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Montenegro (-1.5)Bulgaria won
- Spread: Montenegro (-2.5)Bulgaria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.