Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf57ed21a3c9e9f0e6fe53545246517b37a4fd7496175926998bba25e587864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,924$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.6 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 52c | 916.01$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.01 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 44c | 714$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 37c | 668.34$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.34 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 46c | 582.61$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.21 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 46c | 400$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 391.08$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 63c | 311.4$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.44 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 52c | 288.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 278.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.57 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 42c | 255$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked No | 52c | 211.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 205.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed No | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 49c | 171.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 131.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 125.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 121.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…676fbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked No | 52c | 102.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 12c | 88.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 50c | 59.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 59.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 43.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 59c | 35.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 59c | 34.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 59c | 34.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 59c | 34.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…4468backed Yes | 42c | 34.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…178dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
- Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Over won
- Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Over won
- Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.