Fifa International · resolved market
Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84d6db9421e42dae21ca840995d150d753cf411ff93cfca1d50f775beba85bd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 77c | 64,462$49,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,826.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 23c | 41,323$9,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,504.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed Over | 77c | 3,444$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 2,304$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.17 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 23c | 1,358$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.38 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 19c | 1,337$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9287backed Over | 79c | 1,268$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 23c | 1,054$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.01 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 23c | 1,043$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.78 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 77c | 784.42$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.42 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 24c | 699.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 76c | 677.42$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 25c | 506$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 499.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…d1f0backed Over | 78c | 477.49$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 354.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 3c | 340.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 24c | 274.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 23c | 191.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 23c | 130.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Over | 76c | 129.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 119.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…bda2backed Over | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Under | 23c | 114.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 23c | 112$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…ad1cbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 76c | 99.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 87.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 23c | 70.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Over | 77c | 66.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…bf73backed Under | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 77c | 59.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 31c | 55.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…ac42backed Under | 25c | 42.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 111 | 74.8%83 W · 28 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…b899backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Over | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…a70fbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5this page
- Austria vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Over won
- Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Over won
- Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Austria won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.