TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$340,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$527,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,853 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over62c94,177$58,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,386.961250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under41c35,075$14,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,380.943259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under41c12,402$5,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,084.9529343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under46c6,216$2,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.995050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c5,655$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.3736850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over73c4,509$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over54c3,019$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.823855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over53c2,832$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.273928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over53c2,451$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.822744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c1,172$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.611,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under31c1,103$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.2817629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under40c998.51$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.0816342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c980.51$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.981,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Over53c944.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.3219150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under31c801.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c607.63$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.971,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under44c552.7$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2432646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under41c528.49$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6811759.8%70 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Under48c522.19$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25322652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over48c440$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.82441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c421$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.29812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-78.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under49c407.41$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.072,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c384.1$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.363,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under42c369.16$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.411,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa933…f420backed Under48c353.25$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f3a…c3c8backed Over52c281.22$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over36c277.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.772254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over53c253.74$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2615949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over52c240.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3812254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a1…ee48backed Under43c232.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-57.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d7d…f1dabacked Under48c220$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb434…8271backed Over52c219.68$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f213backed Under48c219$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb145…b6b2backed Over52c218.75$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10fe…8a7dbacked Over52c218.71$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee85…8e44backed Under48c218$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…510fbacked Under48c218$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa860…94fbbacked Over52c217.28$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b0…94c2backed Over51c217.2$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2887…457abacked Under48c217$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2968…f3d5backed Under48c217$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3001…e746backed Under48c217$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd204…687fbacked Over52c216.89$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912e…4a70backed Over52c216.72$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x327a…871dbacked Over52c216.59$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd418…b4b8backed Under48c216$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd24…6f96backed Over51c215.61$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa214…e76cbacked Over52c215.55$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb29f…1a5abacked Over52c215.31$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdce…e480backed Over52c215.14$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd68…b69fbacked Under49c215$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x770d…8f2fbacked Over52c214.86$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8904…a92bbacked Over52c214.37$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x340c…45efbacked Over52c213.76$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x164c…a360backed Over52c213.19$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Over50c213$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.546464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc746…e4d6backed Under48c213$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x408d…8e9cbacked Under48c212$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x548e…e77fbacked Under48c212$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5335…1d1ebacked Over52c211.35$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x233f…029dbacked Over52c211.32$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd010…8c7fbacked Over51c211.28$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f02…988fbacked Over52c210.2$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf15…f426backed Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e5…7333backed Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…9654backed Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf610…c452backed Under48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70cf…a04fbacked Under48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5791…d453backed Under48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…592ebacked Under49c209$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1c…0617backed Under49c209$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b88…38b3backed Under48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e29…e3bfbacked Under48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a1…2e02backed Under48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa2…7179backed Under48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7530…d308backed Under48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over50c207.48$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7411221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9325…8ea1backed Over52c207.35$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b7…2e25backed Over51c206.96$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f53…5bf4backed Under48c206$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…e8b1backed Under49c206$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcde…11cfbacked Over52c205.8$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1b…5851backed Under49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e6…a290backed Over51c204.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98b8…6165backed Over52c204.65$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c99…05d6backed Under48c204$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f2…ee04backed Under48c204$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe198…593bbacked Over52c202.63$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa653…92f7backed Over52c202.58$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5740…60e9backed Over52c202.11$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be7…11dfbacked Under50c202$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36fb…c550backed Under49c202$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e58…7320backed Under48c202$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9275…b845backed Over52c201.65$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea80…60c0backed Over52c201.64$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f1…4c7ebacked Under48c201$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd7b…7fb2backed Under49c201$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b1…b3e7backed Over52c200.32$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.