Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Austria (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eb047a87ba516cdc2f87c92c5ac01066e3c67e843fe118e68f84a243bffae78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Austriaof Austria, Ghana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Austria | 38c | 3,033$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.58 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ghana | 59c | 1,702$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Ghana | 62c | 1,640$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Ghana | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Austria | 55c | 376.62$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Austria | 30c | 370$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Ghana | 62c | 243.19$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ghana | 63c | 206.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Ghana | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Ghana | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Ghana | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Austria | 49c | 135.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Austria | 38c | 121.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Austria | 31c | 81.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Ghana | 56c | 77.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Ghana | 65c | 73.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Ghana | 65c | 72.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Ghana | 65c | 69.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Ghana | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Ghana | 65c | 46.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Austria | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Austria | 36c | 41.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ghana | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Austria | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Ghana | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Austria | 47c | 34.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Ghana | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Ghana | 63c | 32.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea7…03fabacked Austria | 56c | 32.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Ghana | 66c | 16.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)this page
- Austria vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
- Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Over won
- Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Over won
- Austria vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Austria (-2.5)Austria won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Austria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.