TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No63c30,630$19,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,244.585,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes65c12,386$8,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,053.747950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes64c8,329$5,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,353.961,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes11c6,327$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.527125.4%18 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No35c4,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac5…cd3dbacked No38c3,647$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d1…c8cebacked Yes33c2,935$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2168…99fcbacked Yes27c2,224$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.941717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f68…2238backed No78c2,050$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4512100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+418.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes22c1,836$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.316048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No35c1,750$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.516558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No35c1,693$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.952,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed No78c1,529$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97524053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed Yes26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3904339.5%17 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes62c1,479$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.071540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes29c1,363$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39846530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes23c1,300$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No64c1,205$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.261,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes9c1,145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No36c900$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.524956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No35c857.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1227349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c852.91$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.838,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes35c845.25$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.884634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes24c839.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.62634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes24c832.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa00…f736backed Yes44c832.23$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-75.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes22c820.61$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5910657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No36c800$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51615857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes12c798.33$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9311819.5%23 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes63c755.91$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No36c750.84$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.351,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes6c700$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde45…8238backed Yes22c694$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a2…02c0backed Yes22c692$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick17cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes22c664$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Yes29c655.93$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No35c650$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.528851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No35c650$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.523056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes32c615.63$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1977852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No36c611.7$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2727549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b2…0f1ebacked No38c605.19$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked No37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3782462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37818543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Yes64c575.03$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.023828.9%11 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No72c556.66$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1482434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes62c555$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes64c547.65$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.9627855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Yes29c535.02$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed Yes11c513$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.43333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33033745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32518358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes19c499.91$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9511717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No75c473.25$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.817055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes58c458$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Yes16c434.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.64714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69c1…da5fbacked No64c408.81$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.45666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26021358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26016559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No37c361.92$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.851,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No36c357$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.581,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c340.03$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.921,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75c…86d0backed Yes55c322.88$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.444949%24 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eeb…f331backed Yes32c316.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0319…2f43backed Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Yes64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No35c292$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.822457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Yes63c286.11$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No52c275.72$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9312827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes24c261.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6425625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.521657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.520360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes34c249.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854822.9%11 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No71c209.57$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7220138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Yes14c208.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2333%1 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick19cpaid-91.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Yes28c207.49$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No36c206.82$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.651,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d17…9054backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+86.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13022058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No56c198.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3323551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes64c187.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Yes64c172.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No55c167.42$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes26c166.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.025438.9%21 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Yes33c162.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.57540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbd…1598backed No42c162$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+107.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes11c160.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2126745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b5…2193backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes29c156.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453040%12 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c156$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.881,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Yes32c154.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked No42c151$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.