South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ca5ca487b14558a91f130916ec91db0b3b55d286a5f7198236094a30321d96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 15,743$8,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,710.31 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed No | 51c | 9,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked No | 50c | 6,465$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked No | 48c | 1,930$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 56c | 1,351$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.3 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 15c | 1,026$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 882.17$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.07 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 33c | 862.08$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.73 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed No | 55c | 672.93$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 13c | 563.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked No | 56c | 525.37$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 70c | 484.52$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…b8ecbacked Yes | 69c | 220.29$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Yes | 48c | 209.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 46c | 208.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.96 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked No | 26c | 184.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked No | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 68c | 168.55$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed No | 63c | 158.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 65c | 155.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 13c | 151.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed No | 60c | 148.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked No | 38c | 129.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 28c | 114.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 29c | 113.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 49c | 102.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 54c | 98.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00bd…95f9backed Yes | 50c | 98.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 49c | 97.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 12c | 95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…fcbdbacked Yes | 76c | 92.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 85.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 56c | 79.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked No | 36c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…280cbacked Yes | 39c | 72.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 33c | 70.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bb…655abacked Yes | 72c | 69.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 48c | 61.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 36c | 60.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…f515backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…3458backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…7065backed Yes | 49c | 39.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…d201backed Yes | 48c | 31.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 35c | 31.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 54c | 26.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 69c | 14.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?No won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.