Serie A · resolved market
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4b37e7595f7f7a3f12800ae309c0aac785222e9e71f5bbd1f174a8d1db4cd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- US Lecceof SSC Napoli, US Lecce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,023 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked US Lecce | 58c | 165,678$96,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,157.01 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked SSC Napoli | 42c | 160,000$67,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,199.95 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked US Lecce | 58c | 10,140$5,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,258.46 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 9,721$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.89 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed US Lecce | 65c | 7,397$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.55 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked SSC Napoli | 41c | 7,230$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked SSC Napoli | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed US Lecce | 61c | 4,100$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.97 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 3,125$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed US Lecce | 60c | 1,749$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.76 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked US Lecce | 73c | 1,299$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.3 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed SSC Napoli | 18c | 1,294$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.82 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked SSC Napoli | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed US Lecce | 60c | 694.83$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed SSC Napoli | 33c | 672.13$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked US Lecce | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked SSC Napoli | 40c | 538$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked US Lecce | 68c | 443.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed SSC Napoli | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed SSC Napoli | 41c | 375.29$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed US Lecce | 61c | 360.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed US Lecce | 57c | 299.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked SSC Napoli | 40c | 294.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed SSC Napoli | 39c | 272.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked SSC Napoli | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked SSC Napoli | 41c | 241.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked SSC Napoli | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed US Lecce | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed SSC Napoli | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…6e13backed SSC Napoli | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked SSC Napoli | 17c | 158.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed SSC Napoli | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed SSC Napoli | 42c | 123.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…119dbacked SSC Napoli | 18c | 116.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed US Lecce | 59c | 95.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked SSC Napoli | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed SSC Napoli | 18c | 84.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed US Lecce | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed US Lecce | 59c | 77.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked SSC Napoli | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed US Lecce | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 64.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked US Lecce | 61c | 51.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…0078backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 48.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked US Lecce | 58c | 46.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed US Lecce | 58c | 46.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed US Lecce | 67c | 45.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed SSC Napoli | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed US Lecce | 64c | 40.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…3d34backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 33.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c0…a549backed SSC Napoli | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed US Lecce | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SSC Napoli | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed SSC Napoli | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31bb…3dbabacked US Lecce | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked SSC Napoli | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked SSC Napoli | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked SSC Napoli | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed US Lecce | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed US Lecce | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed US Lecce | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked US Lecce | 60c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)this page
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.