Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4c88e19f71f327370315e3d17881f17a14fc1d018f69f3413e23ea43b1ca5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,718 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 19c | 1,246$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.75 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 13c | 719.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 70c | 283.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 30c | 277.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 68c | 89.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 30c | 78.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 64.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 60.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 29c | 35.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8a…f9bdbacked Over | 70c | 28.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…d203backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…c7acbacked Over | 72c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5this page
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Over won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.