La Liga · resolved market
Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x006cae5fab990046c18e4952a33e37854bcfb58ba5baa2d4d129e526080f0f89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 16c | 11,696$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.05 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 10,550$8,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.31 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 25c | 454.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 29c | 426.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 38c | 364.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Under | 72c | 205.56$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7e…a211backed Under | 55c | 114.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…4300backed Under | 64c | 97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 43c | 78.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 33c | 68.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 69c | 67.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ee17backed Over | 30c | 67.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Under | 71c | 56.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 70c | 52.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 72c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 71c | 49.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 28c | 47.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 29c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 30.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…6fd6backed Under | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 73c | 28.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Over | 45c | 27.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Under | 56c | 26.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 63c | 26.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Under | 73c | 17.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 71c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…2224backed Under | 74c | 13.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5this page
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Osasuna (-1.5)Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.