La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Osasuna (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x581658617bf270492c6edf666d8242bb63cca136b343d86ea78be28d5c54eadb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Osasunaof Osasuna, Levante UD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Osasuna | 70c | 2,525$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.27 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Levante UD | 15c | 1,906$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.54 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Levante UD | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Osasuna | 32c | 504.48$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.94 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Osasuna | 72c | 314.74$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed Levante UD | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Levante UD | 51c | 113$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Levante UD | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Levante UD | 35c | 99.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Osasuna | 49c | 73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Levante UD | 70c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Osasuna | 30c | 66.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Osasuna | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Osasuna | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Levante UD | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Levante UD | 70c | 29.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Levante UD | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Levante UD | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Osasuna (-1.5)this page
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.