La Liga · resolved market
Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09fce5dc2a2c36366a163d26805986a0f579efabcd233a6d929425bb852ca7ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 1,069$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.44 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 76c | 593.02$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.01 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 76c | 396.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 5c | 375$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 25c | 218.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 76c | 194.46$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 23c | 174$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 75c | 84.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 75c | 75.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 25c | 75.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 76c | 51.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 76c | 43.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 25c | 42.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 75c | 31.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Over | 75c | 22.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 73c | 20.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…fdccbacked Over | 76c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Over | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5this page
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Osasuna (-1.5)Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.