La Liga · resolved market
Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb36a7faeba049269154ebfdee426e13777b692e94d550cb64c53152d183987f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.34 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 53c | 981.92$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 50c | 543.09$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 75c | 407.1$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 400.19$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.38 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 40c | 345.12$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 46c | 233.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 55c | 202.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 59c | 199.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 42c | 83.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 79.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 53c | 77.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Yes | 53c | 54.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 47c | 51.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…4f4cbacked No | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Yes | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Yes | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked No | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 51c | 45.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked No | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 50c | 41.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 53c | 41.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Yes | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed No | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 48c | 32.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Yes | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Under won
- Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Osasuna (-1.5)Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.