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La Liga · resolved market

Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,163 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over36c8,658$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.8769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9624347.3%115 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under58c2,666$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over51c2,381$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.462157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0323…77e4backed Over50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1828…cca5backed Under50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Under73c1,780$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c1,699$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.264,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9838729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over46c1,346$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6197440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under48c1,199$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.488457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Under56c1,086$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.84944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Over51c1,016$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5181827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-43.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over45c995.45$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.2455941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under67c960.45$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.781,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over59c937.02$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.2617537.1%65 W · 110 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under47c865.62$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.782842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Under52c853$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.442857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4162560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c797.71$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.8364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over51c786$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.865650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over4c721$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.849736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under75c586.95$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.743151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over51c490.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.336141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c446.5$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6553246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over55c364$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.213824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Under50c318.67$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.154843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x250e…b699backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under50c297.74$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.872962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under51c243.14$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1449447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e05…01cdbacked Under63c201.9$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025757.9%33 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9631745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c163$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1335254%190 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c141.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.771,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under48c123.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4729053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c122$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2227852.5%146 W · 132 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under49c122$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2219153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c122$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2232051.3%164 W · 156 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Under48c110.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.424235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79f0…754abacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c95.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f2…beb8backed Over37c95.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under41c83.54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2829946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Over52c82.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4326242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8821…3914backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x119f…2c27backed Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Over46c65.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Under49c65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.158653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under49c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1117648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under50c61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1114244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under49c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1121849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over53c58.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under49c48.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.873053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…378bbacked Over31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under64c48.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5725248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under41c44.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4230743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over49c43.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.268650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.269551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under47c41.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2512147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6810351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.420652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.420250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.419652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.411346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.419951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.420949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Over50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.416962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Over49c25.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.484557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7c…1214backed Over50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-64.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9b…41cdbacked Under43c24.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Over44c24.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.595543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under49c22.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6821151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Under69c18.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ec…daabbacked Under68c15.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Over70c15.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.683560%21 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa63d…f4e8backed Under79c13.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.