La Liga · resolved market
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84cf65ae73d7b96f6edfe4494e7eb569ba6d23cd493570c5b82f16950f6a5316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 59c | 683$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.18 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 41c | 652$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 38c | 503.56$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.47 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f1…5840backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 44c | 362$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 173.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…37babacked Yes | 43c | 145.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed No | 60c | 127$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…82c2backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 67.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab34…a18abacked No | 61c | 49.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 63c | 46.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked No | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 40c | 30.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)Atletico Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.