La Liga · resolved market
Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aeabdc18adef4f42321c266c8369448ca3c42dbef0529881a71f1ae23dba9b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea0…8d74backed Under | 49c | 3,665$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 53c | 2,711$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.14 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 2,471$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.03 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7209…b3c1backed Under | 41c | 2,078$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 40c | 1,570$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.54 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 59c | 1,251$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.2 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 59c | 1,133$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 52c | 990.04$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.91 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 59c | 659.14$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.89 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 40c | 399.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 328.72$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Over | 61c | 270.3$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 58c | 232.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…b9bfbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 59c | 135.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 60c | 130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…6d35backed Over | 40c | 95.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 60c | 83.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 62c | 81.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 60c | 74.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 42c | 72.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 56c | 43.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 42c | 35.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 41c | 33.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…0fcdbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 43c | 28.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5this page
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)Atletico Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.