La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57fb3740de9c433756210a002fcf16efe0c7235905b6f1f61c885baa27e74cb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atletico Madridof Atletico Madrid, Real Oviedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Oviedo | 43c | 5,043$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.8 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Real Oviedo | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Atletico Madrid | 57c | 1,000$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Atletico Madrid | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Atletico Madrid | 54c | 897.29$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.75 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Atletico Madrid | 60c | 559.18$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…bd57backed Atletico Madrid | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4598backed Atletico Madrid | 57c | 457.92$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Atletico Madrid | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…621cbacked Atletico Madrid | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Real Oviedo | 40c | 325.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Real Oviedo | 43c | 294.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Atletico Madrid | 57c | 251.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Atletico Madrid | 56c | 212$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Real Oviedo | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Atletico Madrid | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Atletico Madrid | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Atletico Madrid | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Atletico Madrid | 58c | 153.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Atletico Madrid | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Atletico Madrid | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Atletico Madrid | 55c | 126.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Atletico Madrid | 57c | 118.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Real Oviedo | 44c | 113.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Real Oviedo | 43c | 110.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Atletico Madrid | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Atletico Madrid | 59c | 101.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atletico Madrid | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed Atletico Madrid | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Atletico Madrid | 56c | 96.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Atletico Madrid | 57c | 94.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Real Oviedo | 44c | 90.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Atletico Madrid | 58c | 76.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Atletico Madrid | 57c | 69.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…b283backed Atletico Madrid | 56c | 64.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Real Oviedo | 43c | 62.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Real Oviedo | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Atletico Madrid | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Atletico Madrid | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Atletico Madrid | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Real Oviedo | 45c | 49.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…dfc5backed Atletico Madrid | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Real Oviedo | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Real Oviedo | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…451dbacked Atletico Madrid | 56c | 44.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…3269backed Atletico Madrid | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Atletico Madrid | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…ae90backed Atletico Madrid | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Atletico Madrid | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e898backed Atletico Madrid | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Real Oviedo | 46c | 33.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…f431backed Atletico Madrid | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Atletico Madrid | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Atletico Madrid | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Atletico Madrid | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Atletico Madrid | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Atletico Madrid | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5551…3dd8backed Atletico Madrid | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Atletico Madrid | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Atletico Madrid | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atletico Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atletico Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.