TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,049 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Over46c33,407$15,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,367.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c3,552$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.376,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c2,684$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.64,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c2,287$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.251,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under54c2,082$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.7214456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over46c1,695$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.74146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under62c1,469$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.411,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Over49c1,028$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under54c1,020$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.195949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under52c892.83$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.3139156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c640$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.41,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over51c466.24$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.781915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-58.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under55c435$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7519357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under52c410.29$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.947929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18465557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18412951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18460557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1688134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under54c399.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9937342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3710343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9390…6a88backed Under40c336$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13859958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14137557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13835157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12015952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.437554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Over24c211.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2731849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.886741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over57c199.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.992552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Under52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.992864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under57c192.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.798655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.425553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under54c185.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.311,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.836259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.827354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over43c165.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3774156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6926158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6932255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6930554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6925456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6926058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6932656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6936758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6928255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6932755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6938358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.367642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under53c135$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.454240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under54c132.77$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0733753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.226958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.228359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.232158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over11c111.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6911712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over48c101.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8318139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4729657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.681675%12 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4813656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9912047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…e304backed Under55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over55c87.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8910448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under47c85.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9558445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c80.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.482,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.827661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Under55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over42c73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3919853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.226959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Under55c68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66269.4%43 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under52c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3f…1400backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.628458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.626259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.623658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.625858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.627758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.625558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.