Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fa207cda05336f1dee0b3300d925264e234424ac58472852a794e7e51cca44d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 2,659$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.91 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 74c | 2,448$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.52 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 26c | 1,114$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.51 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 11c | 1,025$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 72c | 515.98$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Over | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 27c | 317.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 28c | 212.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 71c | 139.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 28c | 134$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 64c | 117.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Under | 23c | 114.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 36c | 108.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…d10cbacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…fc90backed Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 19c | 97.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Over | 72c | 93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 71c | 92.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 25c | 90.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Under | 17c | 71.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…77c6backed Under | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 31c | 63.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 60.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 35c | 57.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 72c | 21.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 66c | 18.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…0591backed Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 46 | 82.6%38 W · 8 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.