Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3505d05a99814da4b74ade42f563c3318c9712f86f78d3c6d430463e8ff05056
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 13,077$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.77 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 80c | 2,500$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.15 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Under | 78c | 705.24$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 463.6$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 18c | 461.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 18c | 454.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 19c | 416.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 18c | 307.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 20c | 201.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 19c | 178.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed Over | 23c | 123.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Over | 21c | 96.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 33c | 71.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 20c | 66.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Under | 75c | 47.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 23c | 46.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 31c | 35.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Under | 76c | 34.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.