TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d0f…a318backed Over47c31,700$14,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,9043511.4%4 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c15,837$8,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,333.052,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c9,543$3,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,220.681,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over58c7,366$4,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,272.281861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under37c4,595$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.0496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9602763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under55c2,822$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.5313754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.126245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Under50c1,504$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under22c1,499$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.3836630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over50c1,392$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9af…7807backed Over36c1,047$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x657c…0cc5backed Over65c769.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under22c700.32$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.2520827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over69c604.12$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9315253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c506.05$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Under70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-51.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over79c347.34$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.410361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under44c326.44$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7631051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…d27cbacked Over79c313.95$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.021172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over79c305.06$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over57c300$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Under69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over50c294$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1475754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7b6…08bdbacked Over29c281.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over76c257.71$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.861872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002860.7%17 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over43c236.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.641060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df8…475cbacked Over59c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567064.3%45 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb008…03d8backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over52c183.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.918863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over78c182.85$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.625742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over45c178.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked Over78c162.94$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.562075%15 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Under45c158.94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.971855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over54c147$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.387245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under22c145$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.11457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over78c141.28$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.21163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under22c139$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.421844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef2…50e0backed Over78c131.12$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.27966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf1b…09aebacked Over78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Over38c120.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Under22c120.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.871361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6529…bc35backed Over32c110.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under35c104.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.722759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c104.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1634553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4801…295fbacked Over78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7828931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under21c98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.422272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+74.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over37c92.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8736852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca12…1cc0backed Under65c91.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over79c90.72$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.674365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Under22c85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.31353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c2…6784backed Over78c83.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bdf…f939backed Over71c80.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.111154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Under34c68.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.522231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e45…efefbacked Over54c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.651566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over66c59.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.095844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dff…7974backed Over36c58.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under48c54.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.564060%24 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over60c53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8415042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbf…98b6backed Over78c50.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick72cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under21c48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.922360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over66c46.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Under43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513129%9 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xacbc…e374backed Under46c45.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe733…0accbacked Under33c44.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c44.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Under59c44.41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.211136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under50c44.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.011553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308856.8%50 W · 38 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x423d…c621backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.46448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked Over78c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.28540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb717…a67fbacked Over78c39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Over78c39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.42875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over80c37.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc069…5f39backed Over51c36.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over78c35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Over49c34.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.962445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Over79c33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.071250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd3…cb5ebacked Over47c32.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1a…ad50backed Over78c32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-59.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Over79c32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…378bbacked Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Over79c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17d…f9b4backed Over71c29.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.191369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.