TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$503,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$505,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,689 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over55c387,350$212,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212,002.482450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Under45c179,321$80,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,626.37742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under45c110,000$49,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,5007938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c46,067$24,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,714.252,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under46c42,199$19,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,687.8996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c27,803$12,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,013.3593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under45c18,888$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,388.43951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c12,000$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,48016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Over55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over55c9,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Over55c7,569$4,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,162.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over54c6,413$3,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.6438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over13c6,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7803511.4%4 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c5,555$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.6820544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7005369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c4,398$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.121,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under45c3,500$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6203948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Over39c2,256$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8802161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Over55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under45c2,098$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.7322947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0808251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c1,901$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.4545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under47c1,702$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.091947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under51c1,370$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.2359240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43210152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under45c799.97$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.9828556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under45c761.85$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5920841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6da…36cbbacked Over55c700.23$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c580.36$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3258757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over54c539.98$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.598659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7b6…08bdbacked Over48c435.66$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…73acbacked Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8956…9e83backed Over5c358.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.271729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under45c356.89$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.296949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over23c341.81$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.458863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Over54c309.46$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16225556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16218459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under44c299.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9913152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c240$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.612048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c240$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.616851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over56c234.08$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.084134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x55eb…5f88backed Under78c230.77$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over56c223.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f74…558dbacked Under55c222.11$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over42c222$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2412049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Under45c221.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.352638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.215847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.228458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4675…d7d0backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49db…f75bbacked Under78c154.64$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Under53c150.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.136428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8111550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over55c149.18$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.054858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over54c125.56$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf05…79febacked Under63c120.7$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.663100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.88148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.812453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.88948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.810952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.87746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.810252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.814155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.89447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.812253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe825…8fc8backed Over56c112.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c112.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under47c105$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.652055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over53c104.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2612452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5310744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5516842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over54c92.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503250%16 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under45c92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.62454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60aa…0df0backed Under46c87.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over42c87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.546439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked Over55c84.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.294932.7%16 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over14c80.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.27353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid+45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.56538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.