Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94d8ef43744b4ac867c3beeecf85a55e163441ddd5ca0da48db9d784550d6df6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 71c | 39,942$28,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,612.7 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 34c | 23,680$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 15,633$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.31 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 32c | 6,411$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 28c | 6,172$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.07 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 25c | 3,082$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.96 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 67c | 3,000$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 30c | 1,899$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.73 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 65c | 1,581$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.26 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 65c | 458.82$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.59 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Under | 68c | 181.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Over | 31c | 171$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…f75bbacked Under | 77c | 154.65$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…5a1dbacked Under | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 68c | 135.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 32c | 121$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 29c | 119.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 30c | 117$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 67c | 104.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Over | 30c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Under | 68c | 93.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 33c | 89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 30c | 89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 73.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 68c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 34c | 70.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 33c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 33c | 68.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 32c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Under | 74c | 54.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 33c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Under | 69c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Under | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Over | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Under | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Under | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…61afbacked Under | 69c | 38.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…bc89backed Under | 77c | 38.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Under | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…3e20backed Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Under | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Under | 68c | 35.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Under | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Under | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Under | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Under | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Under | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Under | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Under | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Under | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Under | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Under | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Under | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Under | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Under | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…af09backed Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.