Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2323cb32e5965d3a54448bda6e1b6ddc73749c8d0bacb9788bbf20377319c9e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 11,899$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.35 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 79c | 2,500$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 31c | 799.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 19c | 406.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 15c | 371$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 68c | 360.11$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 335.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 29c | 331.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 18c | 292.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…5a09backed Over | 11c | 213.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 20c | 172.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 16c | 158.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 69c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 69c | 129.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 71c | 122.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 15c | 111.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed Over | 21c | 101.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 70c | 93.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 29c | 75.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 68c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 20c | 67.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 33c | 65.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115c…1e85backed Under | 69c | 60.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 67c | 58.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 35c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Over | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 31c | 48.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…ec07backed Under | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Under | 62c | 24.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 69c | 19.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.