TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2061…ec07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.92
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+77.3%+$20.87
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.68
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$8.96
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+43.1%+$28.44
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Getafe vs. Girona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+114.5%+$22.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$21.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+33.2%+$12.96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$18.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$109
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$4.25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+133.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+420.8%+$105.21
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+44.1%+$11.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.