Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b93dfad7b7d3acb5b78391cf516417b5876ad2144fe125020e91a10847bd7b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 3,853$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.15 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 2,251$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.78 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 5c | 2,212$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 1,766$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.79 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 60c | 966.43$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 448.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 51c | 437.25$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 408.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 21c | 408.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 7c | 313.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 31c | 288$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.53 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 68c | 206$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.08 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Yes | 64c | 190.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 44c | 99.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 32c | 78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 32c | 71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed No | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4369…c995backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed No | 38c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 41c | 52.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed No | 36c | 49.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed No | 68c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 32c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 32c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…4a93backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed No | 68c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148d…9001backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 59c | 24.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked No | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 69c | 19.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed No | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed No | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed No | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…4ae1backed No | 70c | 16.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked No | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 69cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-08?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.