Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a6072cd5dae18a2952589f7ee6771904939162c85e8df0b16d7221fe0b90f32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 40,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.99 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 65c | 37,177$24,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,011.89 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Yes | 21c | 2,038$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 1,874$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.04 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 1,587$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.57 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 64c | 1,541$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.87 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 39c | 1,052$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 949.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 418.03$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 415.12$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.27 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 403.55$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed No | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 354.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 332.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 281.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Yes | 37c | 262.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 34c | 260$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 37c | 180$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 168.51$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 26c | 167.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…8f12backed Yes | 24c | 161.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 64c | 157.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 26c | 153$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…0565backed Yes | 23c | 148.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 24c | 125.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 37c | 113$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed No | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +99%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 19c | 97.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 27c | 79.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 37c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed No | 63c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 65c | 61.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…d12ebacked No | 67c | 59.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 36c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 33c | 45.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 62c | 37.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 33c | 33.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 66c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked No | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1561…1a93backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed No | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 64c | 15.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed No | 68c | 15.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-08?this page
- Will Vitória SC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.