La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dabcac66bb5e0554441b237afd3f3bab30b9e04d39a41c92cbfa934b2993d5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 73c | 2,738$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.28 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 2,681$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.64 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 3c | 2,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 29c | 2,263$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.77 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 3c | 2,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 809.54$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.44 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 756.86$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.26 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Under | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 73c | 356.16$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 258.59$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 73c | 254.55$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 27c | 224$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb17…94e8backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 57c | 164.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 72c | 157.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 26c | 105.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…0a55backed Over | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 29c | 102.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 27c | 94.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 27c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 59c | 80.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 73c | 28.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Under | 50c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 72c | 18.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5this page
- Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Under won
- Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.