La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b4acecb3b667b86e3d37cec4af53555a9ebe1902fbe76108b2faccd5b03e407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Over | 32c | 1,100$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 45c | 1,012$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 56c | 607.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.51 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 580.43$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.39 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 44c | 564$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.16 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 467.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 55c | 443.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.79 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 45c | 341.02$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.46 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 8c | 333$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 260.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…a010backed Over | 45c | 135.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Under | 55c | 90.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Under | 58c | 85.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 51c | 61.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 44c | 56.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…9587backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…27b6backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5this page
- Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.