La Liga · resolved market
Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x634fc3fc15c5edbc861e0cf2c11b43906504f5f384632fa5afce3674c2d6e41d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 2,129$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.79 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,747$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.96 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 39c | 1,668$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.45 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 50c | 600$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 35c | 572$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 349.48$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.33 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 196$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 58c | 169.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Over | 68c | 166.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 72c | 166.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 71c | 141.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 133.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 56c | 106.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 54c | 99.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 31c | 97.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 69c | 92.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 36c | 86.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 29c | 80.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Over | 49c | 77.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 73.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Over | 60c | 66.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119f…2c27backed Over | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 55c | 39.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 60c | 39.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Under | 49c | 38.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…43b6backed Under | 61c | 37.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Over | 56c | 35.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 33c | 35.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 53c | 22.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…ce79backed Over | 68c | 15.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 1.5this page
- Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 2.5Under won
- Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Espanyol (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.