Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0ee714075303b391f346e33a435844e2199cef316987cc288ec68d770542c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 71c | 70,714$49,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,965.88 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 29c | 29,539$8,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,972.85 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 6,303$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,010.13 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 59c | 5,514$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.72 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 34c | 3,735$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.55 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 3,659$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 52c | 2,670$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.33 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 24c | 763.72$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.56 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 30c | 700$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 30c | 600$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Over | 52c | 433.28$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 29c | 240$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Under | 48c | 215.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 30c | 196.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 29c | 180$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 38c | 170.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 163.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Over | 32c | 148.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 71c | 143.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…5a1dbacked Under | 70c | 143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Under | 37c | 113.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 46c | 66.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Over | 51c | 48.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Under | 26c | 46.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 31c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 29c | 43.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 46 | 82.6%38 W · 8 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…bf0abacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 46c | 27.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.