Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcac0999a30918c355b57590b35a104992af463b6c65de7c16fdd4fed6f289324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 79c | 6,192$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.41 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 4,224$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.65 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 21c | 4,040$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.92 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Over | 78c | 2,296$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.43 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 79c | 159.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 78c | 145.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 22c | 142.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 103.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked Over | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…4892backed Over | 78c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f0…babbbacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…b135backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…72d6backed Over | 78c | 18.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Over | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.