TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over54c72,084$38,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,158.465352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c27,803$12,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,789.152,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under46c16,000$7,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3606137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c9,311$4,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,266.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94f6…cf62backed Over54c6,900$3,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30021965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Over54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.782751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under47c4,200$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.8612642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c4,048$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.821,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under39c2,727$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.092,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under27c1,182$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.271,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9120054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Under47c1,060$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.27343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4809843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under24c744.93$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7851542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under45c730.41$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3439156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over53c493.2$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.3911846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18440953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over54c342.33$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.474656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under46c335.07$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1358445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Under47c319.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.437557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.435157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x290d…503fbacked Under47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9237958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.198743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.837554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6925553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over71c140.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7924158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over54c121.96$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.13345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.226158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.232255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.230554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.225456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.226058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.232656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.236758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.228255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.232755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over54c119$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.276269.4%43 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c113.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.461,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b3…20fbbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…dbf6backed Over54c93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under46c89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9429041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.827661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.761441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Under39c74.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.884153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Under48c71.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.249050%45 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.226959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.262142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.633156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.626958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.628458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.626259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.629657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.623658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.633057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.625858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.627758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.625558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.622958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.631359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.629057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.627354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.656158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.631557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.628359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.625560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.622858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.620556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.632158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.556854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under46c51.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7612048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…8cc0backed Under48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over54c48.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48d…02d6backed Under47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under46c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f21…dc40backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.