Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7c245b09aec10582310df07c685240e30d01bc7e6fa15e13c3965e1fe30c173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Newcastle United FCof Newcastle United FC, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Newcastle United FC | 60c | 16,369$9,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,527.5 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC | 45c | 15,891$7,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,128.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Burnley FC | 23c | 2,485$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.04 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Newcastle United FC | 37c | 1,986$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…450abacked Burnley FC | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Burnley FC | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Newcastle United FC | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Burnley FC | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Newcastle United FC | 44c | 567.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.96 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Newcastle United FC | 35c | 478$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.54 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Newcastle United FC | 33c | 417.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.61 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Burnley FC | 63c | 325.65$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.16 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Newcastle United FC | 33c | 319.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Newcastle United FC | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Burnley FC | 65c | 252.31$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Burnley FC | 42c | 194.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Burnley FC | 64c | 158.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Burnley FC | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Newcastle United FC | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Newcastle United FC | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Newcastle United FC | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Newcastle United FC | 34c | 123.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…6a54backed Newcastle United FC | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Burnley FC | 44c | 101.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Newcastle United FC | 40c | 100.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Newcastle United FC | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Burnley FC | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Newcastle United FC | 59c | 97.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Burnley FC | 66c | 88.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed Newcastle United FC | 67c | 72.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Newcastle United FC | 45c | 65.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Burnley FC | 64c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Newcastle United FC | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fe62backed Burnley FC | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Burnley FC | 62c | 44.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Newcastle United FC | 39c | 42.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Newcastle United FC | 35c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Burnley FC | 65c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Newcastle United FC | 37c | 40.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Newcastle United FC | 67c | 40.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Burnley FC | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Newcastle United FC | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Burnley FC | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Burnley FC | 64c | 30.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Burnley FC | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Burnley FC | 44c | 23.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…5830backed Newcastle United FC | 78c | 21.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Burnley FC | 65c | 20.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Burnley FC | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)this page
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.