Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9d23166e06bd006fc2c2d983cf484b42b0974f2b86a946eb87ee2cdc0a3c7f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.02 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 42c | 1,218$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.86 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.18 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 1,027$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.88 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…6232backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 56c | 217.86$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…47a4backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 191.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…c289backed Yes | 53c | 182.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 52c | 170.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 53c | 116$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked No | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 53c | 49.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 48c | 41.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked No | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed No | 48c | 29.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…1bc4backed Yes | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Yes | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.