Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Liberty Flames vs. Florida International Golden Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52a2ad27479dc72f2ad7dbb89ddeb8036ea35447575f9fd25a3b8c8b96933e16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liberty Flamesof Liberty Flames, Florida International Golden Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 2c | 23,428$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 24c | 12,145$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Liberty Flames | 74c | 6,496$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.59 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Liberty Flames | 51c | 1,008$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.87 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liberty Flames | 74c | 1,008$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.35 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 58c | 1,006$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.59 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 50c | 1,004$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.75 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 25c | 646.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Liberty Flames | 57c | 588.73$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 2c | 545.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0488…10bfbacked Liberty Flames | 68c | 460$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…d2c6backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 32c | 442.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…230ebacked Liberty Flames | 59c | 399.01$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liberty Flames | 67c | 381.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Liberty Flames | 69c | 366.43$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Liberty Flames | 69c | 364.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 37c | 339.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 47c | 296.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.81 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Liberty Flames | 76c | 295.91$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 34c | 232.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 5c | 230.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Liberty Flames | 76c | 195$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Liberty Flames | 65c | 162$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Liberty Flames | 56c | 149.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 44c | 124.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 36c | 123$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liberty Flames | 66c | 113$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Liberty Flames | 37c | 72.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Liberty Flames | 51c | 60.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…30c4backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Liberty Flames | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 51c | 45.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Liberty Flames | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed Liberty Flames | 65c | 35.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 35c | 32.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dff…7974backed Liberty Flames | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Liberty Flames | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Liberty Flames | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Liberty Flames | 65c | 21.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Liberty Flames | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Liberty Flames | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Liberty Flames | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberty Flames vs. Florida International Golden Panthersthis page
- Liberty Flames vs. Florida International Golden Panthers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Liberty Flames vs. Florida International Golden Panthers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Liberty Flames vs. Florida International Golden Panthers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Liberty Flames vs. Florida International Golden Panthers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Liberty Flames vs. Florida International Golden Panthers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Liberty Flames vs. Florida International Golden Panthers: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-3.5)Florida International Golden Panthers won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-4.5)Florida International Golden Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.