College Football · resolved market
O/U 56.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4453173e8bb4005ff89864e7f166432cbb8b33a36db5e46e58c68c658af583e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 53c | 4,910$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.48 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 47c | 2,766$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.35 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 2,738$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.34 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 1,479$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.09 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 991.53$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.49 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 813.47$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.82 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 55c | 710$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.3 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 566.77$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.63 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 55c | 400$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.28 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 56c | 364$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…5c7bbacked Under | 78c | 179.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Under | 56c | 153.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 44c | 145.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 47c | 118.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Over | 54c | 101.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Over | 57c | 46.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…5bc2backed Over | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 47c | 29.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…1052backed Under | 54c | 22.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…353ebacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 75c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 56.5this page
- Georgia Tech vs. BYUBYU won
- Georgia Tech vs. BYU: 1H MoneylineGeorgia Tech won
- Georgia Tech vs. BYU: O/U 54.5Under won
- Georgia Tech vs. BYU: O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: BYU (-3.5)BYU won
- Spread: BYU (-4.5)Georgia Tech won
- Spread: BYU (-5.5)Georgia Tech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.