College Football · resolved market
Spread: BYU (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee3b7aa77e79f2cc5d245021f0224c9e683b151b85c527c21824d909d67011b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Techof BYU, Georgia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked BYU | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Georgia Tech | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Georgia Tech | 56c | 349$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Georgia Tech | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Georgia Tech | 55c | 182.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed BYU | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Georgia Tech | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BYU | 45c | 164.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Georgia Tech | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Georgia Tech | 54c | 76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked BYU | 46c | 59.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed BYU | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Georgia Tech | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed BYU | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Georgia Tech | 51c | 44.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…0beebacked BYU | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed BYU | 46c | 33.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed BYU | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed BYU | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Georgia Tech | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BYU (-4.5)this page
- Georgia Tech vs. BYUBYU won
- Georgia Tech vs. BYU: 1H MoneylineGeorgia Tech won
- Georgia Tech vs. BYU: O/U 54.5Under won
- Georgia Tech vs. BYU: O/U 55.5Under won
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Spread: BYU (-3.5)BYU won
- Spread: BYU (-5.5)Georgia Tech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.