College Football · resolved market
Georgia Tech vs. BYU: O/U 54.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa955e5336edf7161ce207993f4b8d25d8d84c535b850090b3615fb16a765422a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 10c | 9,626$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 15c | 9,326$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.9 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 3,920$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 12c | 1,101$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 6c | 600$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 8cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 4c | 414.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 2cpaid | +841.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 50c | 402$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 337.69$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.85 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Over | 54c | 138$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…700bbacked Over | 52c | 62.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia Tech vs. BYU: O/U 54.5this page
- Georgia Tech vs. BYUBYU won
- Georgia Tech vs. BYU: 1H MoneylineGeorgia Tech won
- Georgia Tech vs. BYU: O/U 55.5Under won
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Spread: BYU (-3.5)BYU won
- Spread: BYU (-4.5)Georgia Tech won
- Spread: BYU (-5.5)Georgia Tech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.