Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x509ea8738918ca7a614525a87c600ca34af54a515aa2a7f71b2f700856cd787d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 23c | 16,931$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,954.21 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 11,219$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,119.58 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 4,055$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.19 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 54c | 2,562$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 76c | 2,085$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.35 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 77c | 1,822$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.59 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 22c | 1,535$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.12 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 75c | 1,126$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.19 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,006$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.54 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 56c | 956.99$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.95 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 77c | 700$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.38 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 24c | 686.96$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.28 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 56c | 573.61$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Yes | 64c | 570$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 57c | 525.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 26c | 512$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.88 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 62c | 422.41$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.89 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Yes | 54c | 383.83$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 78c | 307$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.64 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 58c | 303$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…cce7backed Yes | 77c | 299.95$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 63c | 296.64$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.61 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 53c | 250$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 246.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 22c | 181$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…dd3ebacked Yes | 79c | 147.49$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 22c | 139$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 53c | 134.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 24c | 127.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 46c | 108.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 52c | 104.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed Yes | 80c | 103.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 23c | 93.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 21c | 90.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Yes | 77c | 87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 45c | 78.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 34c | 73.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 55c | 69.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 55c | 69.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 66c | 59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c92…956fbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 44c | 32.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 80c | 29.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 48c | 29.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…6e0dbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 78c | 14.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…f50abacked Yes | 78c | 13.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.