Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bfcc840f044678b7128ad456cb256a8ada7e01f8cefa98b36d5d1c640393f33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 15c | 10,660$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,061 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 4,389$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.86 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 2,698$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.91 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 2,486$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 66c | 1,463$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.9 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 1,174$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.96 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 61c | 1,129$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.54 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 27c | 1,094$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 58c | 1,050$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.47 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 15c | 846.39$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.17 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 69c | 792.48$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.19 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Yes | 76c | 500$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 37c | 348.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 63c | 313.68$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 11c | 256.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.24 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 27c | 221.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 200.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed No | 37c | 191.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…dd3ebacked No | 17c | 162.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Yes | 15c | 91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 14c | 81.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 20c | 80.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 42c | 78.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 23c | 65.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 75c | 56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 36c | 52.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 67c | 44.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…63cbbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.