Fifa International · resolved market
Mali vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe845d699c308d7777e35dff4e4a837a8d91a7489ac47114c4e93fa3b78a7940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 1,195$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.74 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 48c | 1,000$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.42 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 790.46$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.61 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…13d1backed Under | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Under | 54c | 734.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 73c | 249.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…614cbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 28c | 142.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 140.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 37c | 122.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca49…daddbacked Over | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Over | 26c | 77.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…d9b0backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Over | 36c | 35.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Under | 74c | 33.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf757…575dbacked Over | 44c | 27.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 53c | 25.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mali vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5this page
- Mali vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mali vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mali vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.