Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76f0c17c122f140567f1fa2ce7ad60afa2feef6c1382a2d629e15b374545e2f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 26c | 1,959$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 780.22$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 519.59$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.9 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 73c | 224.33$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 152.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…9bfbbacked Yes | 24c | 52.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed No | 79c | 18.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 64c | 17.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Falkirk FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.