Serie A · resolved market
Will US Lecce vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbbd55e6a8664680e0d47b8a18abeb501885c1ca410004fa661c6cd31b3eeda8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 72c | 5,489$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.92 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 2,931$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.46 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 3c | 1,352$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 72c | 1,101$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 996$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.88 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 19c | 757.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 8c | 492.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 28c | 428.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 347.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Yes | 28c | 230$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 71c | 213.34$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 17c | 197$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 28c | 181$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9432…0d9dbacked No | 72c | 170$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 127.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes | 16c | 118$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 18c | 105.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Yes | 18c | 99.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed No | 72c | 94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 26c | 71.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…432cbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…7185backed Yes | 31c | 65.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Yes | 19c | 52.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…925fbacked Yes | 28c | 44.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked No | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa1…3240backed Yes | 28c | 41.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed No | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 31c | 38.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed No | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ad…c852backed No | 74c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…4c7ebacked No | 74c | 19.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed No | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…492bbacked No | 74c | 17.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…6a23backed No | 73c | 17.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 71c | 16.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…debcbacked No | 74c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Lecce vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?this page
- Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
- Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.