TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa196…5b78backed Yes18c4,612$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.249631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8df4…1989backed Yes20c4,314$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cda…dcf2backed Yes20c3,902$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58db…f520backed Yes20c3,309$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a1…d2aebacked Yes20c3,228$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes19c3,100$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd028…2b7fbacked Yes20c3,094$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aba…8262backed Yes20c3,037$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7392…68abbacked Yes20c2,840$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…43e8backed Yes20c2,343$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51cc…be25backed Yes20c2,225$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c7…0e6bbacked No80c2,185$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes14c2,035$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes4c1,722$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.31,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf52f…9265backed No80c1,552$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+61.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes19c1,496$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.287945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e0…c977backed Yes20c1,424$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5983…ac3bbacked Yes20c1,324$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…2a87backed No80c1,219$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…0444backed No80c1,146$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd36b…7f41backed No80c1,131$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+109%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…a60fbacked No80c1,099$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.8540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes18c999.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.333647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a2d…83cfbacked No80c994$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+141.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc4…a082backed No80c981$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab2…03a6backed No80c943$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf856…9b71backed Yes20c935.79$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52d…f641backed No80c850$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb67…2e7cbacked No80c834$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6cc…d8f6backed No80c819$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+133.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f45…d8c8backed No80c809$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x360d…104ebacked No80c793$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes6c757.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5959240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf670…bf42backed No80c752$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6e…61bebacked No80c737$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd76d…003cbacked No80c709$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7b…a49abacked No80c706$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4798…9ffdbacked No80c693$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0893…8837backed No80c686$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaece…55a7backed No80c680$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes20c677.37$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.475658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3a…994abacked No80c653$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e38…d21ebacked No80c651$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes18c618.74$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3712923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b75…cefbbacked No80c564$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0efd…2030backed No80c526$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1917…5cd3backed No80c507$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes19c500$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.513040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50ce…bf0bbacked No80c477$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…bab8backed No80c477$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes19c463.88$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.823151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No80c462.38$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4812657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x645a…0312backed Yes20c410$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…48ddbacked No80c386$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+109%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes4c380$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.328931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbb…13ecbacked No80c377$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes18c376.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.781844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1429…83a8backed No80c368$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc68e…61d4backed No80c367$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a85…6d81backed No80c362$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes4c317.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1112929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes19c300$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.526046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes18c299.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf53d…72a9backed No80c284.54$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes18c274.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3344753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3d…ce69backed Yes20c264$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a5…dcb0backed No80c261$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63de…6a01backed Yes20c228$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes19c210.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3641943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Yes19c206.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.217248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes19c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3721445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes18c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.679037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xacf4…dc2dbacked Yes20c182$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes18c169.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes17c169.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes19c143.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904c…1902backed Yes19c130$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes18c123$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1427737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce0…00e9backed No80c115$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2119549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes19c84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9613840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0635…0f4cbacked No80c76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes19c76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0932150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce3…9b49backed No80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Yes18c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d25…ad46backed Yes20c73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f1…bdfdbacked No80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2d…58e3backed No80c51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d83…4b38backed No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No80c15.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.129078.9%71 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.