Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ca4b4fc420f70512ddb2e4d3a7b29705c667422fc1d5cd8043c35c3be829ed2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Under | 0c | 15,310$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 70c | 14,281$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 7,435$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,512.54 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 30c | 6,689$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,683.67 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Under | 64c | 1,616$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 5c | 1,250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.5 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 35c | 999.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Under | 60c | 993.09$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 70c | 815.05$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 665.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.1 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…4e8dbacked Under | 3c | 486.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Over | 39c | 455.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 36c | 411.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.69 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed Under | 65c | 299.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…6232backed Over | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Over | 35c | 243.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 208.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 30c | 208$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…dea6backed Over | 15c | 166.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Under | 68c | 132.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Under | 79c | 110.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Over | 34c | 93.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…5830backed Over | 36c | 57.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 65c | 47.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Under | 68c | 34.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 38c | 27.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…4e09backed Under | 76c | 20.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 16.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 65c | 16.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.