CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Outfit 49 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x337661e17ee5ab1e9ac717bbe33c4d2d57e5ecae2ffc5476bfd096efde7890d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof Voca, Outfit 49
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Outfit 49 | 16c | 16,195$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.35 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Outfit 49 | 10c | 1,486$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Outfit 49 | 15c | 874.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…99fbbacked Outfit 49 | 30c | 417.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…ab94backed Outfit 49 | 24c | 238$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Outfit 49 | 24c | 220$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Voca | 76c | 215$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Outfit 49 | 13c | 207$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Outfit 49 | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Outfit 49 | 15c | 164.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…9ad2backed Voca | 79c | 126.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…02d5backed Outfit 49 | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Voca | 75c | 87.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Voca | 73c | 78.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Outfit 49 | 22c | 55.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Voca | 76c | 46.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Voca | 79c | 25.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Voca | 79c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Outfit 49 (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Outfit 49 - Map 1 WinnerVoca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.